Steven Alker's caddie, Sam Workman, dead at 55 after cancer battle: 'Privilege walking the fairways with you'

Sam Workman, caddie for the reigning Charles Schwab Cup champion, Steven Alker, suddenly passed on Monday, less than a week after his cancer diagnosis was announced, Alker confirmed on social media. He was 55. 

Alker released a statement on Instagram confirming Workman’s passing, which he said was “sudden.” 

Steven Alker, of New Zealand, left, celebrates on the 18th hole with his caddie Sam Workman after winning the Insperity Invitational at The Woodlands Golf Club on May 1, 2022 in The Woodlands, Texas. 

Steven Alker, of New Zealand, left, celebrates on the 18th hole with his caddie Sam Workman after winning the Insperity Invitational at The Woodlands Golf Club on May 1, 2022 in The Woodlands, Texas.  (Riely/Getty Images)

“Words cannot describe the sudden passing of Sam Workman from his fight with cancer on February 6, 2023. You will be missed by so many. It has been a privilege walking the fairways with you ‘my man,’” Alker wrote in an Instagram caption.

PRO GOLF STEVEN ALKER SAYS CADDIE, SAM WORKMAN, DIAGNOSED WITH TERMINAL CANCER

“Our deepest condolences go out to Sam’s family and his closest friends. Thoughts and prayers are with you at this time of sorrow.” 

Steven Alker, of New Zealand, and his caddie Sam Workman, right, hold the Charles Schwab Cup on the 18th green after the final round of the PGA TOUR Champions Charles Schwab Cup Championship at Phoenix Country Club on Nov. 13, 2022 in Phoenix.

Steven Alker, of New Zealand, and his caddie Sam Workman, right, hold the Charles Schwab Cup on the 18th green after the final round of the PGA TOUR Champions Charles Schwab Cup Championship at Phoenix Country Club on Nov. 13, 2022 in Phoenix. (Ben Jared/PGA TOUR via Getty Images)

Alker has been partnered with Workman since 2019. Since working together, Alker has won five tournaments on the PGA Tour Championship and was most recently awarded the Charles Schwab Cup in 2022. 

CLICK HERE FOR MORE SPORTS COVERAGE ON FOXNEWS.COM

“Sam Workman has been much more than just a professional golf caddie to me the last four years,” Alker said on social media last week. 

“He has been a friend, a motivator, a decision maker and a fighter. We’ve had some tough times and, as of late, some really good times. He’s been like an older brother to me since we first got connected in 2019.”

Steven Alker, of New Zealand, hugs caddie Sam Workman after winning the Charles Schwab Cup following the final round the Charles Schwab Cup Championship at Phoenix Country Club on Nov. 13, 2022 in Phoenix.

Steven Alker, of New Zealand, hugs caddie Sam Workman after winning the Charles Schwab Cup following the final round the Charles Schwab Cup Championship at Phoenix Country Club on Nov. 13, 2022 in Phoenix. (Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

According to an obituary, Workman began golfing with his father and grandfather at 6 years old. He is survived by his mother, Kathy Young, sister, Michele Workman, and many beloved cousins, aunts and uncles.

source

SEC targets 'crypto-staking' in $30 million Kraken settlement


Washington
CNN
 — 

The Securities and Exchange Commission has reached a $30 million settlement with the cryptocurrency platform Kraken that will force it to unwind a program offering investment returns to US users who committed their digital assets to the company.

That practice, known as “staking,” reflected an unregistered offer and sale of securities, the SEC alleged in a complaint announced Thursday. According to the SEC, Kraken failed to adequately disclose the risks of participating in the program, which had advertised annual yields of as much as 21%.

If approved by a court, the settlement marks a potential turning point for cryptocurrency regulation and the SEC’s broader efforts to bring the industry under its jurisdiction. But according to cryptocurrency advocates, the SEC clampdown on staking could have wider effects that undermine the US cryptocurrency ecosystem.

The SEC complaint zeroes in on a practice that the industry says is vital to supporting the healthy function of some virtual currencies. When investors agree to contribute, or stake, their cryptocurrency tokens, their contributions become part of the computerized, technical process used to validate transactions. Those who do may be rewarded with additional tokens.

In its complaint, however, the SEC alleged Kraken failed to notify users about the lack of protections it offered to those who engaged in staking through Kraken’s program. The SEC also said Kraken failed to disclose information about the company’s health, the fees it charged, or how the company would handle its customers’ tokens.

“Investors have had no insight into Defendants’ financial condition and whether Defendants have the means of paying the marketed returns — and indeed, per the Kraken Terms of Service, Defendants retain the right not to pay any investor return,” the complaint said.

Kraken’s program had offered “outsized returns untethered to any economic realities,” said Gurbir Grewal, director of the SEC’s enforcement division, in a statement.

As part of the agreement resolving the charges, Kraken said Thursday in a blog post that on top of the $30 million payment, it would “automatically unstake all U.S. client assets” that were a part of the program and that its US customers would no longer be eligible to participate in staking. Staking and the associated rewards will continue to be offered for non-US customers, the company said.

Kraken is not the only cryptocurrency platform that offers so-called staking-as-a-service. The industry giant Coinbase offers a similar program whose website advertises up to 6% annual returns.

Ahead of the SEC settlement announcement, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong had tweeted about “rumors” of a possible crackdown on staking, which he described as a “terrible path for the U.S.” and “a matter of national security” if restrictions on staking wound up driving cryptocurrency development to other countries.

“Staking is a really important innovation in crypto,” Armstrong tweeted. “It allows users to participate directly in running open crypto networks. Staking brings many positive improvements to the space, including scalability, increased security, and reduced carbon footprints.”

“Staking is not a security,” he added.


source

Injured Black children are over-reported as abuse victims

Black children are over-reported as suspected victims of child abuse when they have traumatic injuries, even after accounting for poverty, according to new research.

The study, which drew on a national database of nearly 800,000 traumatic injuries in children, also found evidence that injuries in white children are under-reported as suspected abuse.

The study highlights the potential for bias in doctors’ and nurses’ decisions about which injuries should be reported to Child Protective Services, according to the researchers. Medical caregivers are mandated reporters, obligated to report to CPS any situations in which they think children may be victims of abuse.

Because caregivers rarely admit to injuring their children, such reports rely in part on providers’ gut feelings, making them susceptible to unconscious, systemic bias.

Bias can harm both Black and white children, says senior study author Stephanie Chao, assistant professor of surgery at Stanford Medicine.

“If you over-identify cases of suspected child abuse, you’re separating children unnecessarily from their families and creating stress that lasts a lifetime,” Chao says. “But child abuse is extremely deadly, and if you miss one event—maybe a well-to-do Caucasian child where you think, ‘No way’—you may send that child back unprotected to a very dangerous environment. The consequences are really sad and devastating on both sides.”

Child abuse and poverty

Racial disparities in reporting child abuse have been documented before, but prior studies have not controlled well for poverty, which is a risk factor for abuse. Some experts argue that disproportionate reporting of injured Black children as possible abuse victims reflects only that their families tend to have lower incomes, not that medical professionals are subject to bias. Chao’s team wanted to clarify the debate.

The new study drew on data from the National Trauma Data Bank, which is maintained by the American College of Surgeons. The researchers studied records of nearly 800,000 traumatic injuries that occurred in children ages 1 to 17 from 2010 to 2014 and from 2016 to 2017. Of these injuries, 1% were suspected to be caused by abuse, based on medical codes used to report different types of abuse. The researchers controlled their findings for whether children had public or private insurance as a marker for family income.

Suspected victims of child abuse were younger (a median age of 2 versus 10 years), more likely to have public insurance (77% versus 43%), and more likely to be admitted to the intensive care unit (68% versus 48%) than the general population of children with traumatic injuries.

Suspected child abuse victims also were 10 times as likely as the general population of children with traumatic injuries to die of their injuries in the hospital, with 8.2% of suspected abuse victims versus 0.84% of all children with traumatic injuries dying during hospitalization.

Similar proportions of children in the suspected child abuse group and in the general population of injured children were of Asian, Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, American Indian, and “other” races, and similar proportions of both groups were of Hispanic or Latino ethnicity.

However, Black patients were over-represented among suspected child abuse victims, comprising 33% of suspected child abuse victims and 18% of the general population of injured children. White children comprised 51% of suspected child abuse victims and 66% of the general population of injured children.

“Even when we control for income—in this case, via insurance type—African American children are still significantly over-represented as suspected victims of child abuse,” says Chao. “In addition, they were reported with lower injury severity scores, meaning there was more suspicion for children with less-severe injuries in one particular racial group.”

In general, the researchers found medical professionals had a higher threshold for suspecting white families of abuse and a lower threshold for suspecting Black families. For example, white children in the suspected abuse group were more likely than Black children to have worse injuries, and they were more likely to have been admitted to the intensive care unit.

Dire consequences of getting it wrong

Chao and her colleagues are designing more equitable ways to screen injured children for possible abuse. An important element, she says, is to make the screening universal so evaluation for possible abuse is not initiated primarily by medical providers’ gut feelings.

Chao created a universal screening system, in use at Stanford Medicine Children’s Health since 2019, in which every time a child younger than 6 years old is evaluated for an injury sustained in a private home, the electronic medical record automatically sends an alert to the organization’s child abuse team.

Composed of pediatricians and social workers with specialized training in abuse detection, the team checks the medical record for other indications of abuse. In most cases, no such signals are found, and the entire process occurs behind the scenes. However, if the medical record shows any red flags, the medical staff who admitted the patient to the emergency department or hospital can be alerted for further consideration of whether further work-up or a CPS report is warranted.

Chao is also now working with Epic, the nation’s largest electronic medical record company, to include an automated child abuse screening tool in its system. The screening tool will be tested at several medical institutions later this year.

Chao hopes the work will improve the accuracy of CPS reports, especially when it comes to reducing the impact of medical providers’ unconscious bias.

“Everyone means well here, but the consequences of getting these reports wrong are pretty dire in either direction,” she says. “If we don’t recognize bias and always chalk it up to something else, we can’t fix the problem in a thoughtful way. Now, I hope we can recognize it and work toward a solution.”

The study appears in the Journal of Pediatric Surgery.

The National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences funded the work.

Source: Stanford University

source

Alec Baldwin’s ex-wife Kim Basinger reveals Oscars wardrobe malfunction, was ‘praying’ dress wouldn’t fall

Kim Basinger is laughing off what could have been an extremely embarrassing moment. 

The actress and ex-wife of Alec Baldwin took to Instagram Thursday to share a throwback photo of her at the Oscars in 1999, the year she had a wardrobe malfunction in front of millions. 

During the 71st Academy Awards, Basinger recalled being backstage preparing for her cue from a crew member to enter the spotlight, but a sudden mishap unfolded. 

ALEC BALDWIN’S EX-WIFE KIM BASINGER MAKES RARE COMMENT ABOUT ONE OF HIS CHILDREN IN BIRTHDAY TRIBUTE RESPONSE

“I heard something in the back of my white, floor-length Randolph Duke gown POP….” She stressed in her social media caption.

“I was shaking and I was mortified but I took the stage and I clenched my arms to my sides as tight as they would go… PRAYING… that the dress would not fall off…”

Kim Basinger during 71st Annual Academy Awards.

Kim Basinger during 71st Annual Academy Awards. (Getty Images)

Basinger posted two photos on her account — one of her looking stunning in the strapless white gown with all smiles, and one of her handing off the award to the recipient, actor James Coburn.

ALEC BALDWIN SUED IN ‘RUST’ SHOOTING: HALYNA HUTCHINS’ FAMILY SAYS ‘TO LEAVE THIS UNPUNISHED IS UNALLOWABLE’

She continued to reveal how she managed to keep the dress on her body through the embarrassing experience.

James Coburn holds up his Oscar during the 71st Academy Awards. Presenting the Oscar is Kim Basinger.

James Coburn holds up his Oscar during the 71st Academy Awards. Presenting the Oscar is Kim Basinger. (Getty Images)

“I held that sucker up all the way through presenting the award to James Coburn… A truly memorable night… for many reasons,” Basinger joked with two laughing emojis.

Kim Basinger and Alec Baldwin were married for nine years before divorcing in 2002.

Kim Basinger and Alec Baldwin were married for nine years before divorcing in 2002. (Getty Images)

The former model was candid about her fears amid award season and concluded her story with some tips.

“Don’t ever forget… most of the time, these people are sewn into their gowns moments before hitting the red carpet… The #1 fear: you’ll fall down. #2: The stitches won’t hold!”

IRELAND BALDWIN SHOWS OFF FACE INJURY WITH BLOODY SNAP 

In 2002, Basinger and Baldwin decided to call it quits after nine years of marriage. They share one daughter together, Ireland, 27.

CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP FOR THE ENTERTAINMENT NEWSLETTER

The pair endured a tumultuous custody battle over Ireland during their divorce.

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

Baldwin has since remarried and shares seven children with his wife, Hilaria Baldwin.

source

Memphis prosecutors will review all cases involving the officers charged in Tyre Nichols' death



CNN
 — 

Prosecutors in Memphis, Tennessee, will review all cases that involved the five officers charged in the brutal beating death of Tyre Nichols during a traffic stop, the district attorney’s office said, as newly released documents show a sixth officer involved in the encounter lied in his statements to investigators.

“The office will review all prior cases – closed and pending,” Shelby County District Attorney Steven Mulroy said in a statement.

It is unknown how many cases this will involve.

“This is just the beginning,” Erica Williams, the spokeswoman for Mulroy, told CNN. “This involves any criminal case that [the officers] were involved in. It is any case where there were criminal charges that were brought by the DA anytime since they became officers.”

The review comes as police documents detail alleged false statements made by Preston Hemphill following Nichols’ death. Hemphill was fired from the Memphis Police Department last week for violating multiple department policies, including personal conduct and truthfulness. He was the sixth officer to be terminated after Nichols’ death.

In his statement on a form regarding the incident, Hemphill said Nichols attempted to grab his partner’s duty weapon. The statement was part of a decertification letter Memphis Police sent to the Tennessee Peace Officer Standards and Training Commission (POST).

“There is no video footage to corroborate that statement,” the document said, adding that Hemphill then provided a conflicting statement to investigators, telling them he “did not see the subject grab your partner’s gun.”

Hemphill was seen on his body cam video tasing Nichols and later heard saying, “I hope they stomp his ass.” While on top of Nichols, Hemphill “used the assaultive statement, ‘Get on the f**king ground. Finna tase yo ass,’” according to a police document obtained by CNN Thursday.

The January release of video of Nichols, 29, being repeatedly punched and kicked by police shook a nation long accustomed to videos of police brutality – especially against people of color.

Nichols died in a hospital days after the beating.

Earlier this week, letters of decertification for five other officers, who have been charged in Nichols’ death, stated that those officers’ accounts were “not consistent with each other and are not consistent with the publicly known injuries and death of Mr. Nichols,” the documents say.

Hemphill also said in a statement that Nichols was stopped for “driving recklessly at a high rate of speed,” but then acknowledged that he “did not witness the subject driving in such a manner,” the document said.

“You stated that you and your partners stopped the driver and attempted to detain him, and he began to resist,” the decertification letter reads.

“You stated that after he stood up from being on the ground, he started fighting with you and your partner, at which time you deployed your city-issued taser. The video evidence does not corroborate your statement,” it continued.

“Video evidence shows the subject was not resisting but was running away from you while you attempted to tase him,” it said.

Hemphill was given the opportunity to review his version and told investigators that the details were correct, the document said.

“Your statements were inconsistent and untruthful, and you documented false statements,” it added.

If the decertification is granted by the state, it would prohibit Hemphill from working for other state law enforcement agencies.

Lee Gerald, an attorney for Hemphill, said he and his client still disagree with his job termination, but they are cooperating with the investigation.

“Regardless of what the Memphis Police department and the commission decided to do regarding his possible decertification, Mr. Hemphill will continue to cooperate with authorities in the investigation into the death of Tyre Nichols,” Gerald told CNN.

Hemphill has not been criminally charged in the case. The other five terminated officers are due to be arraigned next week on seven counts each, including second-degree murder, aggravated assault, aggravated kidnapping with bodily injury, aggravated kidnapping in possession of a deadly weapon, official misconduct and official oppression, according to the district attorney.

All five officers – Demetrius Haley, Tadarrius Bean, Emmitt Martin III, Justin Smith, and Desmond Mills Jr. – also were internally charged with violating the department’s policies on personal conduct, neglect of duty, excessive or unnecessary force and use of body-worn cameras, according to internal police documents. The charges are not criminal in nature.

Several of the fired officers had received written reprimands or short suspensions for violating policies during their time with the department, personnel files show.

Haley was involved in a November 2021 incident where another officer received a sustained complaint for “excessive/unnecessary force” after a female suspect suffered a dislocated shoulder. Haley didn’t face a departmental charge for force but was reprimanded for failing to document his role in the detention.

Mills received a reprimand in 2019 for not filing a form after the use of physical force against a suspect. Mills used force to take the woman “to the ground so that she could be handcuffed,” according to the summary of his hearing.

While four officers had policy violations, Bean had no written reprimands in the files reviewed by CNN.

source

More teens vape cannabis in medical-only states

More US high school seniors reported vaping cannabis in states where it is legal only for medical purposes than states where all adult use is permitted, according to a new study.

About 27% of 12th graders in medical marijuana states reported vaping cannabis compared to 19% in states that prohibited cannabis or allowed it for adult use.

“More than a quarter of our youth in medical states were vaping cannabis. That’s a lot,” says Christian Maynard, a sociology PhD student at Washington State University and first author of the study published in the journal Drug and Alcohol Dependence Reports.

“We were expecting medical and adult use states would be more similar. Instead, we didn’t find any statistical difference between prohibited and adult use states.”

“It’s possible the context of saying cannabis is for medical reasons is contributing to the fact that youth view it as less risky.”

For the study, Maynard and Jennifer Schwartz, his advising professor and a sociologist, analyzed responses from 3,770 high school seniors to the 2020 Monitoring the Future survey, a project which has surveyed US youth since 1975.

The researchers also analyzed a subset of 556 participants who had also answered questions about access to cannabis vaping products and risk perceptions. They found that 62% of the high school seniors in medical marijuana states reported very easy access to cannabis vaping cartridges or “carts,” and only 31% saw regular cannabis use as a great risk.

In both prohibited and adult use states, fewer high school seniors, 52%, reported easy access to cartridges. More also felt regular cannabis use was risky: 40% in prohibited states and 36% in adult use states.

The study could not identify exact reasons for the high rates of teen vaping in medical marijuana states, but Maynard suspects there may be a couple factors at play.

“It’s possible the context of saying cannabis is for medical reasons is contributing to the fact that youth view it as less risky,” says Maynard. “The difference in availability may also be that adult use states are providing legal cannabis to a wider range of people, which may in turn tamp down on the illegal market, and an adolescent can’t go to a dispensary.”

More research needs to be done to get to the reasons behind this difference, Maynard emphasizes.

While cannabis and tobacco use among teens has been decreasing overall, vaping has bucked that trend. Among high school seniors, cannabis vaping during the past 30 days made the second the biggest single-year jump in 2019 for any substance in the 45-year history of the Monitoring the Future study. It was only second to nicotine vaping.

Vaping remains popular even after crisis of related lung injuries in 2019 and 2020 that led to more than 2,000 hospitalizations including 68 deaths. Many of the cases were connected to cartridges sold outside of stores that contained Vitamin E, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The rise in cannabis vaping among teens highlights the need for parents and educators to help inform youth of the dangers, Maynard says.

“Like it or not, cannabis legalization seems to be happening across the country,” he says. “It’s very important to talk with adolescents. We know that at a younger age, when the brain is developing that cannabis is associated with harmful side effects. It’s also not safe to buy cannabis carts off the streets. You don’t know what they’re putting in those unregulated carts.”

Source: Washington State

source

San Francisco Mayor London Breed cracks down on drugs, backs police in state of the city address

In her San Francisco state of the city address Thursday, Mayor London Breed pushed back against critics who said the city was dead or dying and pledged to beef up police staffing, crack down on drugs, offer tax breaks to new businesses and build more housing for essential workers like bus drivers.

Breed said her San Francisco is one of resilient dreamers and talented reinventors who go on despite challenges such as a rampant fentanyl crisis, shuttered businesses and learning loss among students. But San Francisco’s downtown, once bustling with office tech workers, is not returning to its pre-pandemic hustle, Breed said.

“And you know what? That’s ok,” she said. “Let’s keep some perspective. In 1907, downtown was mostly rubble and ash. That’s considerably worse than today’s shift in how people work.”

Last year, voters recalled three politically progressive members from the San Francisco Board of Education and ousted the district attorney, saying he sympathized too much with criminals. They voted in Brooke Jenkins, who shares Breed’s vision of improved relations with police, heavier law enforcement and consequences for people who commit crimes.

CALIFORNIA CITIES RATTLED BY PROSTITUTION, HUMAN TRAFFICKING IN BROAD DAYLIGHT AS COPS PIN BLAME ON NEW LAW

Like many other U.S. cities, San Francisco struggles to house its homeless residents, estimated at 7,800 in a city of about 835,000. Residents and businesses complain frequently over tent encampments, vandalism and street trash. And San Francisco, like the state, faces a budget shortfall.

Nevertheless, Breed told a room filled with cheering supporters Thursday that she will seek an extra $25 million for overworked police, improve the city’s permitting process so small businesses can more easily open and grow, and remove barriers to building more housing. The mayor is looking to build 82,000 homes partly by rezoning for taller buildings and cutting red tape that makes it expensive to build in San Francisco. Critics have said the plan would result in too many luxury units and not enough homes for low- and middle-income households.

Mayor London Breed gives her state of the city address in San Francisco, California, on Feb. 9, 2023.

Mayor London Breed gives her state of the city address in San Francisco, California, on Feb. 9, 2023. (Santiago Mejia/San Francisco Chronicle via AP)

Breed also announced a plan to remake downtown San Francisco, in part through tax relief for businesses hardest hit by the pandemic, such as retail shops, restaurants, arts and entertainment venues. She also wants to offer tax breaks for up to three years to office businesses that open in the city.

CALIFORNIA PROSTITUTION LAW ALLOWS SEX ABUSE TO ‘RUN RAMPANT’ IN LOS ANGELES STREETS, VICTIM ADVOCATES WARN

San Francisco Supervisor Dean Preston, who is a frequent critic of the mayor’s policies, said she is putting corporate profits ahead of working people.

“Tax breaks for rich corporations, deregulation of luxury housing development, and a $25 million giveaway for the police department. That’s the mayor’s plan in a nutshell, and it’s nothing more than doubling down on failed strategies that don’t work,” he said in a statement.

She previously announced intentions to crack down on open-air drug dealing and drug use, especially in the city’s Tenderloin neighborhood, once in December 2021 and then in October. But there has been no change.

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

Breed is a native San Franciscan who grew up in public housing and is the first Black woman to be elected mayor. She was elected in 2018 following the sudden death of Ed Lee and she faces re-election next year.

“We are San Franciscans,” she said. “We’re not victims of circumstances. We are the captains of our own ship. We are the city that knows how.”

source

Erdogan's political fate may rest on his response to the earthquake

Editor’s Note: A version of this story appears in today’s Meanwhile in the Middle East newsletter, CNN’s three-times-a-week look inside the region’s biggest stories. Sign up here.


Abu Dhabi, UAE
CNN
 — 

A devastating earthquake in southern Turkey could change the electoral equation for Turkish strongman President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who hopes an upcoming election will extend his rule well into a third decade.

While the 68-year-old leader faced the strongest opposition yet to his presidency, the 7.8 magnitude earthquake – which also hit northwest Syria and sent aftershocks across the region – could be a gamechanger for his political career, analysts say.

Erdogan has been visiting impacted areas, consoling victims and pledging to rebuild the thousands of flattened homes. On Tuesday, he announced a state of emergency in the ten hardest-hit provinces of the country’s south, many of which have traditionally supported him and his AK Party.

But there is disgruntlement with the government’s response in those areas, where some people complain that scores of bodies are yet to be collected, causing the stench of death to spread.

“There are no organized relief efforts in here,” Sinan Polat, a 28-year-old car dealer in Hatay province, told CNN. “There are so many bodies in front of the hospitals, there’s not even enough shroud to cover them. Cemeteries are full. What are we going to do, throw the bodies of our families into the sea? It’s not what we expected and hoped. Under these conditions, we’re not hopeful about the future.”

Nuran Okur, a 55-year-old resident of the southern city of Iskenderun, told CNN there was no sign of the state in the city. “It’s been four days, and there’s no one here.”

Erdogan’s response to Monday’s earthquake, which has so far killed more than 22,000 people across Turkey and Syria, may determine the results of an election that is scheduled for May 14.

Erdogan is likely aware of that. On Wednesday he acknowledged “shortcomings” in the government’s early response. The next day, he reminded Turks of government efforts in previous disasters, promising to rebuild homes in less than a year and pledging to support victims with 10,000 liras ($531) each.

“For Erdogan, the next 48 hours will be definitive,” Soner Cagaptay, director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy told CNN on Thursday.

Whether his efforts will salvage his chance at re-election is unclear. Most of the quake-stricken provinces in Turkey’s south are socially conservative and are strongholds of Erdogan’s Islamist-rooted AK Party, said Sinan Ulgen, a former Turkish diplomat and chairman of Istanbul-based think-tank EDAM.

“The average AK Party performance in those provinces has been above their national average,” he said, adding that AK Party provinces have generally received more support from the central government, in comparison to opposition-held ones.

The ten provinces that were most affected by the earthquake represent around 15% of Turkey’s population of 85 million and a similar proportion of the 600-seat parliament. During the 2018 vote, Erdogan and the AK Party won the presidential and parliamentary elections, respectively, in all of those provinces but one, Diyarbakir. That region voted for the pro-Kurdish HDP party, and its candidate Selahattin Demirtas, who ran for elections from prison.

One of the strongest to hit the region in more than 100 years, the earthquake has so far killed 19,000 in Turkey alone, where the toll is expected to rise.

Emotions have been running high as many, including those in non-affected provinces, have expressed anger at what they feel was a lack of readiness for the disaster, especially since Turkey is no stranger to earthquakes.

In 1939, an earthquake of the same magnitude as Monday’s killed 30,000 people, and in 1999, a 7.4 magnitude earthquake in the country’s northwest killed more than 17,000 people.

For Turkey’s rulers, quakes have been gamechangers in the past. In what later became a defining moment for Erdogan’s ascension to power, the 1999 quake – and the slow relief efforts that followed – only added to the sense of disillusionment many felt toward the nationalist, secularist state in power at the time, analysts say.

After the 1999 earthquake, the state “collapsed like a house of cards,” Cagaptay told CNN. “And that basically destroyed the ideological hold of the state over society.”

The government has particularly been criticized for its lack of preparedness to minimize damage from such disasters, said Ulgen, especially since the state has since the 1999 earthquake been collecting taxes aimed at sheltering the country from potential future disasters.

The Turkish opposition is already speaking out about the government’s perceived shortcomings in dealing with the tragedy.

Following a nationwide restriction on social media after the earthquake, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, head of the main opposition Republican People’s Party said: “This insane palace government cut off social media communication.”

“As a result, crying for help is less heard,” he tweeted on Wednesday. “We know everything you’re trying to hide.”

While there have been no official announcements to postpone the May 14 elections, some analysts expect Erdogan and the opposition to agree on a later date.

It’s unlikely that conditions in the impacted provinces will allow for the vote to be held, said Ulgen.

“It is going to be a very complicated thing to be able to even orchestrate elections in these provinces,” he said.

With additional reporting by Yusuf Gezer in Iskenderun, Turkey.


source