China risks loom over U.S. tech giants Tesla and Apple as share prices plunge

US Top News and Analysis 

In this article

AAPLTSLA

VIDEO2:1002:10
Apple’s big China headwinds

Apple and Tesla are facing major headwinds in China which is contributing to investor jitters around the two U.S. technology giants.

Tesla shares tanked 12% on Tuesday after the electric car maker reported deliveries that fell short of analyst expectations, while Apple dropped more than 3% as concerns resurfaced about demand for the company’s flagship iPhone in the December quarter.

Challenges in China are partly behind the stock falls. The world’s second-largest economy accounts for around 17% of Apple’s sales and 23% of Tesla’s revenue, making it a significant market for both American companies.

“China is the hearts and lungs of both demand and supply for both Apple and Tesla. The biggest worry for the Street is that the China economy and consumer are reining in spending and this is an ominous sign” for Apple and Tesla, Daniel Ives, senior equity analyst at Wedbush Securities, told CNBC.

“In 2022 the worry was supply chain issues and zero Covid related issues, 2023 is the demand worries and this has cast a major overhang on both Apple and Tesla which heavily rely on the Chinese consumer.”

Apple iPhone demand worries

For Apple, investors have one eye on the company’s fiscal first-quarter results likely to be released later this month which cover the crucial December holiday period.

But in October, the world’s biggest iPhone factory in Zhengzhou, China, was hit with a Covid outbreak. Taiwanese company Foxconn, which runs the plant, imposed restrictions. In November, the factory was rocked by worker protests over a pay dispute with many employees walking out. Foxconn has attempted to entice workers back with bonuses. Reuters reported Tuesday that Foxconn’s Zhengzhou factory is almost back to full production.

The episode highlighted Apple’s reliance on China for iPhone production. In early November, after Foxconn imposed Covid restrictions at the factory, Apple said the plant was operating at a “significantly reduced capacity.”

The world’s biggest iPhone factory, located in China and run by Foxconn, faced disruptions in 2022. That is likely to filter through to Apple’s December quarter results. Meanwhile, analysts questioned demand for the iPhone 14 from Chinese consumers.
Nic Coury | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Analysts at Evercore ISI estimate a $5 billion to $8 billion revenue shortfall for Apple in the December quarter. Apple could report a 1% annual decline in revenue in the December quarter, according to Refinitiv consensus estimates. That is worrying investors who were expecting a strong showing for the iPhone 14 series, the company’s latest smartphone.

But it is not just the supply chain issues Apple is facing now. China has reversed course on its zero-Covid policy as it looks to reopen the economy. Beijing’s policy involved strict lockdowns and mass testing to try to control the virus. Now there are Covid-19 outbreaks across large parts of the country which could impact demand for iPhones.

“The key challenge is expected to be on the demand side, especially since resilient high-end consumers may have started to shift their spending to travel while some may have shifted their focus to medical supplies. The shift in spending will pose a key challenge in the short term,” Will Wong, research manager at IDC, told CNBC.

Tesla delivery miss

Tesla’s Tuesday share price plunge was driven by a miss in vehicle deliveries, the closest approximation of sales disclosed by Elon Musk‘s electric car maker. The 405,278 cars delivered in the fourth quarter of 2022 fell short of expectations for 427,000 deliveries.

Again, the China demand story is in focus as well as the supply chain.

Throughout 2022, Tesla faced Covid disruptions at its Shanghai Gigafactory. But analysts also said there is concern over demand from Chinese consumers.

“Tesla will point to supply disruptions and lockdowns as the main problem in China in 2022.  While these are real headwinds, it cannot hide the fact that demand has softened for a variety of reasons and their order backlog is 70% smaller than it was prior to the Shanghai lockdown,” Bill Russo, CEO at Shanghai-based Automobility, told CNBC.

Lockdowns in Shanghai began in late March 2022 as the megacity’s government sought to control a Covid outbreak.

Investors are also concerned that Tesla will have to cut prices to attract buyers which could pressure margins. In China, Tesla slashed the price of its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in October, reversing some of the price rises it made earlier in the year.

But another major headwind for Tesla in China is the rising competition from domestic rivals like Nio and Li Auto as well as lower-priced competitors, which are launching new models in 2023.

“Tesla’s models have been in the market for a while and are not as fresh to the Chinese consumer as other alternatives. What we are learning is EV product life cycles are short as they are shopped for their technology features. Buying an older EV is like buying last year’s smartphone,” Russo said.

“They need new or refreshed models to reignite the market. Just pricing lower can damage their brand in the long run.”

Read More 

Europe starts 2023 with historic winter heatwave; snow shortage forces ski resorts to close

US Top News and Analysis 

Poland’s capital of Warsaw recorded temperatures of 18.9 degrees Celsius on Jan. 1; more than 5 degrees Celsius above the previous record set 30 years ago.
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

A winter heatwave smashed several national temperature records across Europe over the New Year’s weekend, prompting meteorologists to sound the alarm, while some ski resorts were forced to close due to an absence of snow.

January temperatures reached an all-time high in several European states, with national records set in at least seven countries.

Polish capital Warsaw recorded temperatures of 18.9 degrees Celsius (66 degrees Fahrenheit) on Jan. 1 — more than 5 degrees Celsius above the previous record set 30 years ago.

Northern Spanish city Bilbao logged 24.9 degrees Celsius on New Year’s Day — temperatures that might typically be expected at the start of July. Switzerland experienced 20 degrees Celsius on Sunday.

Warm weather and low snowfall forced some low-altitude ski resorts in the northern Alps and French Pyrenees to close a few weeks after opening.

Among the European countries that recorded their hottest days in history were the Netherlands, Denmark, Poland, Czech Republic, Belarus, Latvia and Lithuania.

Regional records were also broken in France, Germany and Ukraine.

The most extreme event ever seen in European climatology.
Maximiliano Herrera
climatologist

Meteorologists and climatologists expressed alarm over the unseasonably warm winter weather, saying there were “too many records to count” and that many of the overnight minimum temperatures were comparable to summer.

“We just observed the warmest January day on record for many countries in Europe,” Scottish meteorologist Scott Duncan said via Twitter.

“Truly unprecedented in modern records,” Duncan said Sunday, adding that the intensity and extent of the warmth across the region was “hard to comprehend.”

Many ski resorts in Bavaria are currently suffering from a lack of snow.
Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Maximiliano Herrera, a climatologist who tracks global weather extremes, described the temperature records as “the most extreme event ever seen in European climatology.” In remarks reported by The Washington Post on Monday, Herrera added, “Nothing stands close to this.”

Guillaume Séchet, a broadcast meteorologist in France, said Europe had “experienced one of the most incredible climatic days in history” on the first day of 2023.

Winter heat follows record-breaking summer

The record-breaking winter heat in Europe follows the region’s hottest summer on record and comes in stark contrast to the extreme cold snap seen in the U.S. in recent weeks.

The Copernicus Climate Change Service, an intergovernmental agency that supports European climate policy, found that the average European temperature for August and for the three-month June-August period was the highest on record in 2022 by “substantial margins.”

A severe lack of rainfall and a sequence of summer heatwaves took a visible toll on European waterways, ratcheting up fears over food and energy production at a time when prices were skyrocketing because of Russia’s war with Ukraine.

In April last year, the world’s top climate scientists warned the fight to keep global heating below the critical threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius had reached “now or never” territory.

The U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change repeated calls for a massive reduction in global fossil fuel use to avert a climate catastrophe.

“It’s now or never, if we want to limit global warming to 1.5°C,” IPCC Working Group III co-chair Jim Skea said in a statement accompanying the report. “Without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors, it will be impossible.”

The burning of fossil fuels — such as coal, oil and gas — is the chief driver of the climate emergency.

Read More 

Review: A grumpy Tom Hanks stars in ‘A Man Called Otto’

Top News: US & International Top News Stories Today | AP News 

This image released by Sony Pictures shows Tom Hanks in a scene from “A Man Called Otto.” (Niko Tavernise/Sony Pictures via AP)

Sentimental tales about grumpy old men and American decline have, until recently, typically been the domain of Clint Eastwood.

But in “A Man Called Otto,” Marc Forster’s adaptation of Fredrik Backman’s bestseller and a remake of the 2016 Swedish film “A Man Called Ove,” it’s Tom Hanks prowling the neighborhood and irritably grumbling about how things used to be. In the original, Rolf Lassgård richly inhabited the role of Ove, a curmudgeonly widower — a Forrest Grump —whose suicide attempts are foiled by needy neighbors and, ultimately, his grudging, sincere devotion to them.

Exasperation, whether directed at a crying ballplayer or a slobbering canine, has always been squarely in Hanks’ wheelhouse. But despondency or even plain get-off-my-lawn orneriness are less obvious traits possessed by the actor sometimes called “America’s Dad.” Following Hanks’ villainous turn as Col. Tom Parker in “Elvis,” the 66-year-old has found in “A Man Called Otto” another role that interestingly, if not always entirely successfully, caters to his strengths while tweaking his familiar screen presence.

It also may rob “A Man Called Otto,” which opens with Otto buying rope to hang himself with, of some of its spirit. We know there are dark roads that Hanks just isn’t going to go down, and some of the early, more caustic scenes of Forster’s film strike a false note. But as “A Man Called Otto” makes its way through Otto’s life, cutting between his present-day squabbles and flashbacks of happier times with his wife, Sonya (Rachel Keller), Hanks movingly tailors the role to himself. How “A Man Called Otto” unfolds won’t surprise anyone, but it does the trick for a little post-holidays heart-warming.

Hub peek embed (FilmReviews) – Compressed layout (automatic embed)

“A Man Called Otto” is set in the prefab row-house development Otto has long lived in, where he tirelessly tisk-tisks any rule breakers, re-sorts misplaced recycling and berates drivers who violate the street’s regulation against through traffic.

Screenwriter David Magee (“Life of Pi,” “Finding Neverland”) hues closely to the Swedish film as a kind of parable of community. Up and down the street are all the people the freshly retired Otto barely tolerates: friends-turned-enemies (Peter Lawson Jones, Juanita Jennings), a friendly exerciser (a delightful Cameron Britton), a transgender paper deliverer and former student of Otto’s wife (Mack Bayda). Most of all there is Marisol (a terrific Mariana Treviño), a pregnant mother of two has just moved in with her husband (Manuel Garcia-Rulfo). Various needs — a stray cat, a borrowed ladder, driving lessons — intrude on Otto’s desires for a peaceful death and, in between aborted suicide attempts, gradually rekindle his will to live.

It’s sometimes too broadly drawn. Mike Birbiglia plays a predatory real estate agent from a company not-so-subtly called Dye & Merica. (“Sounds like Dying America, which it is,” says Otto.) But “A Man Called Otto” is less after realism than it is a modern-day fable, with shades of Scrooge and the Grinch. As a tale of a solitary man, Hanks has made it a poignant work of family. Rita Wilson, his wife, is a producer and is heard singing a song in the film. The younger Otto is played in flashbacks by their son, Truman Hanks. Even Chet Hanks’ “White Boy Summer” blares from a car radio.

Another tune, though, is a more thrilling needle drop. The less said probably the better, but suffice to say, it could be a sign that the Kate Bush renaissance so hearteningly kicked up by “Stranger Things” has not yet abated. If that’s not life-affirming, I don’t know what is.

“A Man Called Otto,” a Sony Pictures release, is rated PG-13 by the Motion Picture Association for mature thematic material involving suicide attempts, and language. Running time: 126 minutes. Two and a half stars out of four.

___

Follow AP Film Writer Jake Coyle on Twitter at: http://twitter.com/jakecoyleAP

 

Read More 

Bernstein says crypto industry set to rebound from this latest 'winter,' like it has before

source

Here are some strategies that can help you dig out of holiday debt

US Top News and Analysis 

While some Americans are still recovering from holiday festivities, many others may have lingering effects of spending regrets. Overall U.S. retail sales increased 7.6% year-over-year between Nov. 1 and Dec. 24, according to the latest Mastercard SpendingPulse survey.

For many consumers, the amount of debt they took on to pay for holiday purchases grew as well. A new LendingTree study found 35% of Americans amassed holiday debt in 2022. The average amount was $1,549, the highest level since 2015 when the survey was first taken. And 37% of those taking on holiday debt said it would take them at least five months to pay it off.

If you want to pay off your holiday debt well before this summer, here are seven steps you need to take now.

1. Pay off a set amount of debt in 3 to 5 months

More than half of holiday shoppers planned to pay with a credit card, the PwC survey found. The average household’s credit card balance exceeds $9,000. Overall, credit card balances for U.S. consumers had already reached their highest level in 20 years by last November — 15% higher than the year before, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Paying down the extra holiday debt you accumulated can help reduce some of that financial pressure. 

More from Personal Finance:
5 money moves to set you up for financial success in 2023
Use pay transparency to negotiate a better salary
Retirement investors flee stocks for ‘safer’ asset havens

This can be one of your New Year’s resolutions.

“If you’re strapped for cash today, plan for tomorrow,” said Nicole Cope, director of wealth strategies at Ally. She recommends starting 2023 with a resolution to pay off any high-interest credit card debt first, then setting a budgeting goal of paying it off in three to five months.

2. Work on improving your credit score

If your credit score is “good” to “excellent” — a FICO score of 670 or higher on a scale of 300 to 850 — you’re more likely to qualify for lower interest rates on credit cards, car loans and mortgages, experts say. So having a good score can have a dramatic impact on the cost of your debt. The more you cut the cost of the debt, the faster you’ll pay it off. 

Some credit card companies will provide your credit score for free. It’s often on your billing statement. To improve your score, start by checking your credit report and disputing any errors.

Sdi Productions | E+ | Getty Images

Through the end of 2023, you can get a free weekly copy of your report from each of the major credit bureaus — Equifax, Experian and TransUnion — at annualcreditreport.com.

Of course, you should pay your bills on time every time.

Also, don’t get too close to your credit limit on your cards. Using less than 30% of your available credit can help you maintain your score, credit experts say, while using less than 10% can actually help raise that number.

3. Apply for a 0% interest balance transfer credit card

Apply for a card with an introductory 0% annual percentage rate offer on balance transfers. Transfer your current credit card balances to that new card. You may be charged a 3% fee on the amount you transfer, but you’ll pay no interest on your debt for 12 to 20 months. 

“A 0% balance transfer card, if you have good enough credit to get one, is the best weapon against credit card debt,” said Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst at LendingTree. “You can get almost two years without gaining interest.” 

Again, you generally have to have a good or excellent credit score to qualify for the best offers. Also, you probably won’t be able to do a balance transfer with the same card issuer. 

4. Ask your credit card issuer to lower your rate

Sewcream | Istock | Getty Images

If you don’t ask for a lower rate, you won’t get it. But if you do ask, you probably will. A Lending Tree survey found 70% of people who asked for a lower interest rate on a card got one, and the average reduction was seven percentage points.

Making this phone call now is more important than ever. After seven consecutive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve, the average rate on a credit card is about 23%. Rates on store credit cards are over 30%.

Asking for a lower rate “is a good hedge against the Fed raising rates again and against the skyrocketing costs we’ve seen over the past year,” Schulz said. 

5. Consolidate debt with a personal loan

If you can’t get a 0% offer or lower rate on a card, try applying for a personal loan. If you qualify for a big enough loan with a lower interest rate than your current card’s rate, then you can consolidate all or most of your credit card debt with that loan. 

In early December, the average rate on a personal loan was 10.64%, less than half as much as the average credit card rate, according to Bankrate.com. 

Just don’t spend that loan money. If you take out a personal loan to pay off credit card debt, make sure you immediately pay off your card balances with the cash from the loan. 

6. Double-check the terms of buy now, pay later loans

VIDEO3:0103:01
42% of ‘buy now, pay later’ made late payments toward those loans, survey finds

About 1 in 10 consumers planned to use buy now, pay later loans to make holiday purchases, according to the PwC survey. You make an upfront payment with buy now, pay later products, then pay off the rest of the purchase in a predetermined number of installments. 

Buy now, pay later plans often don’t charge interest unless you miss a payment. If you miss one, you could get hit with interest on the unpaid balance, as well as a late fee. So make sure you double-check the terms of the buy now, pay later offer, and comply fully. 

7. Reach out to a nonprofit credit counselor

Get a comprehensive review of your financial situation and a look at your credit obligations — credit cards and loans — for free from a credit counselor. When you work with a nonprofit credit counseling agency that is part of the National Foundation for Credit Counseling, you’ll pay no fee for the initial counseling session.

“The outcome of the session results in the delivery of an action plan, identifying each possible option for improving financial well-being and managing debt,” said NFCC senior vice president Bruce McClary. 

The counselor may recommend coming up with a “debt management plan” between you and card issuers or lenders to amend your original payment agreement. That plan may allow you to lengthen your repayment term, lower the interest rate, and/or waive fees. You’ll still have to pay in full, just under more manageable circumstances. 

Fees are typically charged for a debt management plan, McClary said, with a program activation fee of $40 to $50 and monthly fees of $25 to $35. The cost can vary depending on the amount of debt that’s part of the plan or the number of accounts included.

SIGN UP: Money 101 is an 8-week learning course to financial freedom, delivered weekly to your inbox. For the Spanish version, Dinero 101, click here.

Read More 

Work-from-home parents watched kids more in COVID’s first year

A dramatic shift toward remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic caused telecommuting parents in the United States to spend significantly more time “parenting” their children in the first year of the pandemic than they did before, according to a new study.

In the study in the Journal of Marriage and Family, the researchers found that parents working remotely, particularly mothers, significantly increased the amount of time they spent on supervisory parenting—or “watching” their children as they did other activities, such as their job-related duties, not focused on childcare.

Mothers, both those working remotely and on-site, also altered their schedules more often during the pandemic to extend the paid workday.

However, the findings show no overall increase in the amount of time working parents spent on primary childcare duties—feeding, bathing, and other basic care—during the pandemic, regardless of whether they commuted to their jobs or worked remotely.

“The lack of increase in time devoted to basic childcare activities is much less surprising given the spike in telecommuting parents working while in their children’s presence or supervising them,” says coauthor Emma Zang, an assistant professor of sociology, biostatistics, and global affairs at Yale University.

“Our study demonstrates that parenting during the pandemic’s first year, particularly for moms working from home, often required multi-tasking and adjusting work schedules. This suggests that while remote work provides parents greater flexibility, there are potential negative effects on work quality and stress that are disproportionately faced by mothers.”

The study is the first to utilize time-diary data in the United States—records of individuals’ daily activity—to examine the association between parents’ work arrangements during the pandemic and how they use their time. Specifically, Zang and her coauthors—Thomas Lyttelton of Copenhagen Business School and Kelly Musick of Cornell University—analyzed nationally representative data from the 2017–2020 American Time Use Survey to estimate changes in paid work, childcare, and housework among parents working remotely and on site from before the pandemic and after its onset.

Time parents spent with their children present, but not directly supervising them, increased by more than an hour per day among telecommuting mothers and fathers during the pandemic, and supervisory parenting increased over the same period by 4.5 hours among mothers and 2.5 among fathers, on average, over the same period. (A 104% increase over pre-pandemic levels for moms, and an 87% increase for dads.) The much steeper increase in the amount of time spent by mothers on supervisory duties suggests they have disproportionate responsibility for childcare relative to fathers, the researchers say.

The study also revealed that most of the time telecommuting parents spent in their children’s presence or supervising them on workdays during the pandemic in 2020 occurred while they were simultaneously engaged in job-related activities. Moms and dads spent just under an additional hour of work time with children present; mothers spent four additional hours of work time supervising children, compared to two more among fathers.

Parents who commuted to work did not see a statistically significant increase in these areas, suggesting that they were constrained in how they could respond to rising childcare demands during the pandemic, the researchers note.

“Remote work allowed parents to triage during the disruptions of daycare closures and online schooling, even if the burden fell disproportionately on mothers,” says Lyttelton. “Commuting parents had even less leeway in their schedules.”

There is evidence of a reduction in the gender gap concerning household labor between telecommuting mothers and fathers during the pandemic. The study found that parents, particularly fathers, working from home increased the amount of time they spent on household chores, such as laundry and cleaning, during the pandemic. Fathers spent an additional 30 minutes per day on housework—up from 44 minutes per day pre-pandemic—while mothers logged an extra 16 minutes of chores.

The researchers also found a disparity between telecommuting mothers and fathers in the amount of time they spent playing with their children, as opposed to time spent with children that didn’t involve play. Moms working from home spent an additional 16 minutes per day playing with their kids while dads across both work arrangements played with their children an extra six minutes per day. Mothers working on-site saw no increase during the pandemic, according to the study.

The findings on housework and time spent playing with children differ from evidence collected prior to the pandemic, which had showed that remote work is associated with large gender disparities in housework and smaller disparities in childcare, the researchers note.

Mothers working remotely and on-site both reported altering their schedules during the pandemic, working during non-standard hours presumably to meet the increased demands of parenting, the researchers say.

“Our work provides insights into important dimensions of inequality during the pandemic between mothers and fathers and parents who work from home and on-site workers,” Zang says. “The pandemic underscored that our work culture is unaccommodating toward the demands parents face and a policy infrastructure ill-suited to support working parents.

“We need change at the public and private levels to better serve the wellbeing of working families.”

Source: Yale University

source

2024 Mercedes GLC Coupe Gets Final Checkover Ahead Of Reveal, Shows Insides Too

Carscoops 

The regular Mercedes GLC crossover is the company’s best-selling model worldwide, and last June Merc revealed an all-new version incorporating most of the features and upgrades made to its C-Class sedan cousin.

But it hasn’t forgotten about buyers who can’t see themselves in either a C-Class or GLC SUV. To keep that group happy the fastback GLC Coupe returns this year, and these pictures show it in the final stages of its test program.

The test team has stripped away a little of the disguise confirming that the front-end changes mirror those of its more practical brother. The old car’s headlight and grille were separated by body color plastics but on the new one, the more angular light units bleed into a grille again featuring miniature stars as a background rather than horizontal bars.

The Coupe will have the same 113.7-in (2,888 mm) wheelbase as the upright GLC, which means it gains 0.6-in (15 mm) of metal between the wheels versus the outgoing Coupe to provide more legroom in a cabin that gains the latest Mercedes dashboard design and 11.9-in infotainment screen first seen on the S-Class back in 2019.

Related: New 2023 Mercedes-Benz GLC Takes Two Steps Forward And No Steps Back

But being the Coupe variant, this car has a sloping fastback tail that is sure to reduce headroom and luggage space versus the stock GLC SUV. This prototype is still wearing plenty of disguise at the rear but we can expect the lights to look similar to those on the squareback version, and stretch right across the back of the car.

Under-hood options will mirror those of the plain GLC, so don’t expect to see anything but four-cylinder engines on the menu, even in the AMG 63 variant that will be along later. That’s destined to get the same 671-hp 2.0-liter PHEV drivetrain recently launched in the C 63 sedan and wagon, while the more prosaic GLC 300 model that will take the lion’s share of North American sales will rely on a 255 hp (258 PS) 2.0-liter mild-hybrid motor with the option of 4Matic all-wheel drive.

European buyers should also get to choose some less powerful engines from the main GLC line, including a 201 hp (204 PS) inline-four in the GLC 200, a 194 hp (197 PS) diesel in the GLC 220d and a PHEV with up to 62 miles (100 km) of electric range.

Image Credits: Baldauf for CarScoops

Read More 

Bernstein analysts offer a cautious bull case for crypto recovery after a year from hell

Business Insider 

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin speaks at ETHDenver on February 18, 2022 in Denver, Colorado.

The past year was terrible for the reputation of crypto, especially with the downfall of FTX.
Analysts from Bernstein laid out why they’re still bullish on the crypto space.
Crypto is more than currencies, they said, and there’s much to be hopeful about its future.

Crypto did not have the best year in 2022. While the rest of the economy was on a downward slide, crypto was in a freefall.

The average value of cryptocurrencies dropped 64%. And then came the implosion of FTX, a company that had plastered ads across America for most of 2022. Wall Street banks — which previously sought partnerships with crypto firms to offer access to customers — are newly skeptical about the space. And FTX c0founder Sam Bankman-Fried pleading not guilty to federal charges promises the fallen crypto boos will stay in the public eye.

So, yes, there are many reasons to be pessimistic about crypto in 2023. But Bernstein analysts Gautam Chhugani and Manas Agarwal offer crypto true believers a few reasons to keep the faith.

In a note published on January 3, they wrote that despite a catastrophic 2022, the larger crypto ecosystem still has potential. Its decentralized nature allows it to bounce back even after debacles like FTX, it has a strong foundation in Ethereum, and crypto will likely benefit from the regulation it will be unable to avoid.

In their words, crypto has a “survival instinct.”  

Crypto keeps bouncing back

The past year was not the first “crypto winter,” and crypto always bounced back fairly easily. Bitcoin saw large price drops in 2014, when annual returns fell by 58%, and again in 2018, with a 74% drop in returns. Both times the currency returned to strength fairly fast. Ethereum — the other large crypto token — followed nearly the same pattern after falling in 2018. 

Crypto’s nature as a mostly decentralized system helps it survive. Chhugani and Agarwal said the contagion impact from FTX has not spread widely.

“FTX was terrible for the reputation of the sector and affected the faith of institutional investors, who invested in FTX,” the analysts said. “But FTX was 10% of the global trading volume and used mainly by wholesale participants such as brokers, trading firms, and large traders.”

Much of the crypto space remains decentralized. Take decentralized finance, or DeFi, which uses the same distributed network of computers to provide financial services to people.

Chhugani and Agarwal said FTX’s collapse had hastened DeFi adoption, which makes DeFi a bright spot in crypto investing, according to crypto VCs

DeFi’s rise

With DeFi projects largely insulated from FTX’s impact, the Bernstein analysts noted investor interest might shift towards Ethereum and its mainly application-based ecosystem. 

Ethereum forms the basis of many crypto applications like NFT-based gaming, decentralized social media, and some commerce. These tend to use either the Ethereum blockchain to build or use the Ethereum currency to power transactions. Chhugani and Agarwal said crypto only touches 5% of total internet users, and the primary way of growing the space is through applications. 

“We believe value within crypto will migrate from the speculative crypto assets to more utility and application-driven ecosystems such as Ethereum,” they said. 

The benefits of regulating the wild west of finance

Agarwal and Chhugani believe regulation is coming for the crypto space and see it benefiting the market. 

Crypto enthusiasts typically deride moves to regulate their space. The blockchain and bitcoin began as a reaction to the 2008 financial crisis, and its first adopters had visions of leaving behind the tightly controlled world of traditional finance.

But as crypto began moving into the mainstream, investors demanded regulation. And after the fall of FTX, those calls have only increased

The analysts said even if regulation brings about adjustments in the crypto market, policies bring in a more sustainable ecosystem and attract more institutional investors. In their view, regulated onshore exchange companies will survive the current cycle. 

For Agarwal and Chhugani, crypto still has strong potential to grow, particularly as people stop seeing it as a quick money-making speculative asset and instead focus on its ability to be a part of the infrastructure of the next decade of internet development.

Read the original article on Business Insider

Read More 

Salesforce to cut staff by 10% in latest tech layoffs

US Top News and Analysis 

In this article

CRM

VIDEO0:3500:35
Salesforce shares ticks higher after announcing restructuring plan

Salesforce said on Wednesday it would lay off about 10% of its employees and close some offices, becoming the latest tech firm to undertake cost cuts amid an economic slowdown.

The company expects the move to lead to about $1.4 billion to $2.1 billion in charges, of which about $800 million to $1 billion will be recorded in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023.

“The environment remains challenging and our customers are taking a more measured approach to their purchasing decisions,” co-Chief Executive Officer Marc Benioff said in a letter to employees.

Companies from Meta Platforms to Amazon.com have in the past year taken steps to prepare for a deep downturn as global central banks have aggressively raised interest rates to tame decades-high inflation.

Businesses that relied on cloud services during the pandemic are now trying to reduce expenses through job cuts or delaying new projects, which has hurt companies such as Salesforce, which owns office messaging app Slack, and Teams parent Microsoft.

“As our revenue accelerated through the pandemic, we hired too many people leading into this economic downturn we’re now facing, and I take responsibility for that,” Benioff said.

Salesforce growth has slowed during the past four quarters, with the company posting its weakest revenue increase for the three months ended Oct. 31, as a strong dollar also eats into its sales.

The company said affected employees in the United States will receive a minimum of about five months pay, health insurance and other benefits while those outside the country will receive a “similar level of support”.

Salesforce had 73,541 employees at the end of January last year.

Shares of Salesforce rose 3% before the bell, after losing nearly half of their value in 2022.

Read More 

Southwest’s ex-CEO turned the airline into a ‘cult’ that couldn’t recover from its ‘meltdowns’, says pilots’ union official

Business Insider 

Southwest Airlines canceled thousands of flights this holiday season.

Southwest’s former CEO created a “cult” focused on its headquarters, its pilots’ union VP said.
Captain Tom Nekouei said in an open letter that Gary Kelly’s chickens had “come home to roost.” 
Southwest canceled tens of thousands of flights over the holiday season following winter storms.

The man who ran Southwest Airlines for almost two decades turned it into a “cult” focused on its Dallas headquarters and failed to ensure the carrier could cope with weather-related disruption, a pilots’ union official said.

In a scathing open letter dated December 31, Southwest Airlines Pilots’ Association vice-president Captain Tom Nekouei accused Gary Kelly of prioritizing shareholders over staff during his time leading the company, and drew a direct link between his actions and its pre-Christmas chaos.

Technical problems forced Southwest to cancel tens of thousands of flights following winter storms. 

Captain Mike Santoro, another pilots’ union vice-president, told Insider that the airline’s “outdated” scheduling software made the disruption much harder to recover from than it otherwise should have.

The airline experienced a further system glitch on Wednesday that grounded more flights.

Nekouei said “systemwide meltdowns” had become more frequent over the past 15 years, and there had never been any real accountability for the airline’s decision-makers.

“And now, Gary Kelly’s chickens have come home to roost. In true Southwest fashion, our executives continue to apologize and ‘accept responsibility’ out of one side of their mouths while making banal excuses that deflect from the true cause out of the other side,” Nekouei wrote.

Gary Kelly stepped down as CEO of Southwest Airlines in January 2022 but remains executive chairman.

Kelly took over as CEO of Southwest in 2004 from Herb Kelleher, who Nekouei said took an more employee-centric approach to operations and processes. Kelly stepped down as CEO in January 2022 but retains a powerful role as executive chairman.

Nekouei said Kelly spent $12 billion buying back the company’s stock during his tenure as CEO to maintain the share price — and therefore help boost his remuneration — rather than invest in systems “in desperate need of significant investment and upgrade.”

“While Gary’s financial acumen cannot be debated, his poor operational leadership and judgment have been demonstrated repeatedly with each meltdown and finally laid bare with the current situation we find ourselves in,” Nekouei wrote.

Kelly’s decision to bring in other top executives with accounting backgrounds led to “a monetization of the once vaunted Southwest culture and instead turning it into a headquarters-centric cult,” he added. “Gary Kelly’s only enduring legacy is that he destroyed Herb Kelleher’s.”

A spokesperson for Southwest Airlines said it had a “more than 51-year history of allowing – and encouraging – its employees to express their opinions in a respectful manner.”

Read the original article on Business Insider

Read More